The No. 12 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1) have an SEC matchup against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2). For odds and best bets, keep reading.

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When and Where is Alabama vs. Mississippi State?

  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
  • City: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Best Moneyline Bet

  • Prediction: Alabama 44, Mississippi State 7
  • Alabama has won three of the four games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (75%).
  • The Crimson Tide have played as a moneyline favorite of -900 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.
  • Mississippi State has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
  • The Bulldogs have played as an underdog of +575 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The Crimson Tide have an implied moneyline win probability of 90.0% in this matchup.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS: Alabama (-15.5)
  • So far this year Alabama has two victories against the spread.
  • The Crimson Tide have been favored by 15.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
  • Entering play this week, Mississippi State has one victory against the spread this season.

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Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Over (45.5)
  • Alabama and its opponents have combined for over Saturday's over/under of 45.5 points twice this season.
  • This season, every game Mississippi State has played finished with a combined score over 45.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 61.1 points per game, 15.6 points more than the over/under of 45.5 for this contest.

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Splits Tables

Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.8 53.8 61.5
Implied Total AVG 38.8 35.7 48
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Mississippi State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.4 58 47.5
Implied Total AVG 35 37.7 27
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

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