Our projection model predicts the TCU Horned Frogs will take down the SMU Mustangs on Saturday, September 23 at 12:00 PM. For a complete projection on the matchup at Amon G. Carter Stadium, which includes our prediction on the spread, over/under, and final score, keep reading.

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SMU vs. TCU Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Toss Up Under (63.5) TCU 32, SMU 25

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Week 4 AAC Predictions

SMU Betting Info (2023)

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mustangs have a 31.2% chance to win.
  • The Mustangs have covered the spread once in two opportunities this year.
  • SMU is 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or greater this season.
  • The Mustangs have not gone over a point total in two games with a set over/under.
  • The average total for SMU games this season is 4.3 more points than the point total of 63.5 in this outing.

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TCU Betting Info (2023)

  • The Horned Frogs have an implied moneyline win probability of 73.3% in this game.
  • The Horned Frogs have posted one win against the spread this season.
  • TCU has an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
  • The Horned Frogs have had one game (out of two) hit the over this year.
  • TCU games average 64 total points per game this season, 0.5 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

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Mustangs vs. Horned Frogs 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
TCU 39.7 21.3 41.5 25.5 36 13
SMU 39.3 14 53.5 7 11 28

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